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Featured Insight
Maldives’ reserves continue to dip
The external reserves of the Maldives have been on a declining trend since June 2020. At that time, the gross reserves held by the Maldives Monetary Authority amounted to USD 702.5 million , sufficient to finance 5.2 months of imports. However, by September 2024, the reserves had fallen to USD 371.2 million, covering only 1.1 months of imports. This situation mirrors what happened in Sri Lanka, which faced its worst economic crisis after its usable external reserves plummeted from USD 6,695 million (6.4 months of imports) in June 2020 to USD 308 million (0.18 months of imports) by April 2022. The rapid decline forced Sri Lanka to default on its external debts due to a shortage of foreign exchange. With assistance from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Sri Lanka is now undergoing debt restructuring, temporarily halting debt repayments and increasing foreign exchange inflows. While the Maldives' reserves are declining at a slower rate—0.08 months of import coverage lost per month compared to Sri Lanka's 0.25 months per month—the trend is still concerning. At this pace, the Maldives could face a similar crisis within the next 2 years. It is crucial for the Maldives to identify these warning signs early. Proactive measures, such as pre-emptive debt restructuring, can be less harmful than dealing with a disorderly default. Early intervention can help stabilise the economy and avoid the severe consequences as experienced in Sri Lanka.
Featured Insight
Maldives’ reserves continue to dip
The external reserves of the Maldives have been on a declining trend since June 2020. At that time, the gross reserves held by the Maldives Monetary Authority amounted to USD 702.5 million , sufficient to finance 5.2 months of imports. However, by September 2024, the reserves had fallen to USD 371.2 million, covering only 1.1 months of imports. This situation mirrors what happened in Sri Lanka, which faced its worst economic crisis after its usable external reserves plummeted from USD 6,695 million (6.4 months of imports) in June 2020 to USD 308 million (0.18 months of imports) by April 2022. The rapid decline forced Sri Lanka to default on its external debts due to a shortage of foreign exchange. With assistance from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Sri Lanka is now undergoing debt restructuring, temporarily halting debt repayments and increasing foreign exchange inflows. While the Maldives' reserves are declining at a slower rate—0.08 months of import coverage lost per month compared to Sri Lanka's 0.25 months per month—the trend is still concerning. At this pace, the Maldives could face a similar crisis within the next 2 years. It is crucial for the Maldives to identify these warning signs early. Proactive measures, such as pre-emptive debt restructuring, can be less harmful than dealing with a disorderly default. Early intervention can help stabilise the economy and avoid the severe consequences as experienced in Sri Lanka.
Featured Insight
Maldives’ reserves continue to dip
The external reserves of the Maldives have been on a declining trend since June 2020. At that time, the gross reserves held by the Maldives Monetary Authority amounted to USD 702.5 million , sufficient to finance 5.2 months of imports. However, by September 2024, the reserves had fallen to USD 371.2 million, covering only 1.1 months of imports. This situation mirrors what happened in Sri Lanka, which faced its worst economic crisis after its usable external reserves plummeted from USD 6,695 million (6.4 months of imports) in June 2020 to USD 308 million (0.18 months of imports) by April 2022. The rapid decline forced Sri Lanka to default on its external debts due to a shortage of foreign exchange. With assistance from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Sri Lanka is now undergoing debt restructuring, temporarily halting debt repayments and increasing foreign exchange inflows. While the Maldives' reserves are declining at a slower rate—0.08 months of import coverage lost per month compared to Sri Lanka's 0.25 months per month—the trend is still concerning. At this pace, the Maldives could face a similar crisis within the next 2 years. It is crucial for the Maldives to identify these warning signs early. Proactive measures, such as pre-emptive debt restructuring, can be less harmful than dealing with a disorderly default. Early intervention can help stabilise the economy and avoid the severe consequences as experienced in Sri Lanka.
Featured Insight
Maldives’ reserves continue to dip
The external reserves of the Maldives have been on a declining trend since June 2020. At that time, the gross reserves held by the Maldives Monetary Authority amounted to USD 702.5 million , sufficient to finance 5.2 months of imports. However, by September 2024, the reserves had fallen to USD 371.2 million, covering only 1.1 months of imports. This situation mirrors what happened in Sri Lanka, which faced its worst economic crisis after its usable external reserves plummeted from USD 6,695 million (6.4 months of imports) in June 2020 to USD 308 million (0.18 months of imports) by April 2022. The rapid decline forced Sri Lanka to default on its external debts due to a shortage of foreign exchange. With assistance from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Sri Lanka is now undergoing debt restructuring, temporarily halting debt repayments and increasing foreign exchange inflows. While the Maldives' reserves are declining at a slower rate—0.08 months of import coverage lost per month compared to Sri Lanka's 0.25 months per month—the trend is still concerning. At this pace, the Maldives could face a similar crisis within the next 2 years. It is crucial for the Maldives to identify these warning signs early. Proactive measures, such as pre-emptive debt restructuring, can be less harmful than dealing with a disorderly default. Early intervention can help stabilise the economy and avoid the severe consequences as experienced in Sri Lanka.
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Verité Research Debt Update Issue 2
Verité Research Debt Update Issue 2
This edition includes coverage and analysis on the usability of the IMF financing and the volatility of the exchange rate.
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உங்களுக்கு விருப்பமான கட்டுரைகள்
Optimism grows for SL’s bankruptcy exit
Debt restructuring deal to reduce debt stock
Sri Lanka closes $12.5 bn bond restructuring deal
Sri Lanka’s debt negotiations stall over GDP growt...
