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Interest Costs Have Been Eating Up Revenue
In 2023, for the first time in history, the government spent 9% of its GDP on interest payments, which took up 80% of the government revenue. A high interest-to-revenue ratio can be severely detrimental to a country's debt sustainability. This high ratio creates a need to borrow more, undermining debt sustainability and leaving limited revenue for essential government spending and investments. The interest-to-revenue ratio has increased in recent years for two reasons. Revenue Fell Due to Tax Reductions in 2019 Government revenue as a share of GDP dropped from 12% in 2019 to 9% in 2020. This is mainly due to the newly elected government lowering several tax rates in 2019. Thus, the interest share of revenue increased to 71% in 2020 from 47% in 2019, even though the interest payments as a share of GDP remained at 6%. Interest Costs Surged Due to High Interest Rates and More Government Debt Interest expenditure as a share of GDP increased to 9% in 2023 from 6% in pre-2021. This is due to (1) the domestic interest rates skyrocketing to above 25% post-2021 from less than 10% in the prior years - mainly owing to tight monetary conditions and lack of access to foreign financing. (2) Central government debt also increased significantly from 81.9% in 2019 to 114.2% in 2022, leading to higher interest expenditure as the government had to pay more interest on the excessive debt obtained. It is also important to note that this interest figure would have been much higher if the accrued interest expenditure on defaulted foreign debt had been included.
Featured Insight
Interest Costs Have Been Eating Up Revenue
In 2023, for the first time in history, the government spent 9% of its GDP on interest payments, which took up 80% of the government revenue. A high interest-to-revenue ratio can be severely detrimental to a country's debt sustainability. This high ratio creates a need to borrow more, undermining debt sustainability and leaving limited revenue for essential government spending and investments. The interest-to-revenue ratio has increased in recent years for two reasons. Revenue Fell Due to Tax Reductions in 2019 Government revenue as a share of GDP dropped from 12% in 2019 to 9% in 2020. This is mainly due to the newly elected government lowering several tax rates in 2019. Thus, the interest share of revenue increased to 71% in 2020 from 47% in 2019, even though the interest payments as a share of GDP remained at 6%. Interest Costs Surged Due to High Interest Rates and More Government Debt Interest expenditure as a share of GDP increased to 9% in 2023 from 6% in pre-2021. This is due to (1) the domestic interest rates skyrocketing to above 25% post-2021 from less than 10% in the prior years - mainly owing to tight monetary conditions and lack of access to foreign financing. (2) Central government debt also increased significantly from 81.9% in 2019 to 114.2% in 2022, leading to higher interest expenditure as the government had to pay more interest on the excessive debt obtained. It is also important to note that this interest figure would have been much higher if the accrued interest expenditure on defaulted foreign debt had been included.
Featured Insight
Interest Costs Have Been Eating Up Revenue
In 2023, for the first time in history, the government spent 9% of its GDP on interest payments, which took up 80% of the government revenue. A high interest-to-revenue ratio can be severely detrimental to a country's debt sustainability. This high ratio creates a need to borrow more, undermining debt sustainability and leaving limited revenue for essential government spending and investments. The interest-to-revenue ratio has increased in recent years for two reasons. Revenue Fell Due to Tax Reductions in 2019 Government revenue as a share of GDP dropped from 12% in 2019 to 9% in 2020. This is mainly due to the newly elected government lowering several tax rates in 2019. Thus, the interest share of revenue increased to 71% in 2020 from 47% in 2019, even though the interest payments as a share of GDP remained at 6%. Interest Costs Surged Due to High Interest Rates and More Government Debt Interest expenditure as a share of GDP increased to 9% in 2023 from 6% in pre-2021. This is due to (1) the domestic interest rates skyrocketing to above 25% post-2021 from less than 10% in the prior years - mainly owing to tight monetary conditions and lack of access to foreign financing. (2) Central government debt also increased significantly from 81.9% in 2019 to 114.2% in 2022, leading to higher interest expenditure as the government had to pay more interest on the excessive debt obtained. It is also important to note that this interest figure would have been much higher if the accrued interest expenditure on defaulted foreign debt had been included.
Featured Insight
Interest Costs Have Been Eating Up Revenue
In 2023, for the first time in history, the government spent 9% of its GDP on interest payments, which took up 80% of the government revenue. A high interest-to-revenue ratio can be severely detrimental to a country's debt sustainability. This high ratio creates a need to borrow more, undermining debt sustainability and leaving limited revenue for essential government spending and investments. The interest-to-revenue ratio has increased in recent years for two reasons. Revenue Fell Due to Tax Reductions in 2019 Government revenue as a share of GDP dropped from 12% in 2019 to 9% in 2020. This is mainly due to the newly elected government lowering several tax rates in 2019. Thus, the interest share of revenue increased to 71% in 2020 from 47% in 2019, even though the interest payments as a share of GDP remained at 6%. Interest Costs Surged Due to High Interest Rates and More Government Debt Interest expenditure as a share of GDP increased to 9% in 2023 from 6% in pre-2021. This is due to (1) the domestic interest rates skyrocketing to above 25% post-2021 from less than 10% in the prior years - mainly owing to tight monetary conditions and lack of access to foreign financing. (2) Central government debt also increased significantly from 81.9% in 2019 to 114.2% in 2022, leading to higher interest expenditure as the government had to pay more interest on the excessive debt obtained. It is also important to note that this interest figure would have been much higher if the accrued interest expenditure on defaulted foreign debt had been included.
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Budget 2021
Budget 2021
Detailed analysis of the 2021 budget.
From The PF Wire
Source:
Daily Mirror
Governement to borrow additional LKR 400 Bn for de...
The Cabinet of Ministers cleared a request to increase the government’s credit limit by further Rs.400 billion to Rs.3.39 trillion for 2021, under Appropriation Act No. 7 of 2020, to meet the pandemic-related additional expenditu...
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Source:
economynext
Sri Lanka budget deficit 4.7-pct of GDP up to June...
Sri Lanka’s budget deficit for the six months to June 2021 was 781 billion rupees, up 6 percent from a year earlier, or 4.7 percent of projected gross domestic product, data shows, though outstanding debt was accelerating at a faster p...
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Insight on Budget 2021
How Committed was the Sri Lankan Governm...
For information about the 15 proposals tracked, responsible agencies and other findings, visit :&...
Addressing the Gender Gap in Sri Lanka's...
Sri...
Government Deficit Has Decreased By Rs....
The recently released figures for 2021 sho...
Budget Promises : Beyond Parliament 2021...
Public Report on the 2021 Budget: Assess...
This is the second report in a series of two reports on Sri Lanka&rsqu...
Budget 2021 Round-up Part 2- Who Knows t...
Executive Director Nishan de Mel and Rese...
Summary of 2021 Budget (Approved)
The Sri Lanka...
Over Optimistic Estimates in the 2021 Bu...
Sri Lanka’s budget for 2021 feature...
Debt to GDP Ratio - Verité Projections B...
What do we know about Sri Lanka’s Debt/GDP ratio?
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Featured
Expected GDP Outcomes: Budget 2024
The 2024 budget forecasts a greater contraction in 2023 and higher growth in 2024 compared to IMF projections.
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Wanted: An Authentic Minister of Finance - Sri Lan...
This article was compiled by Professor Mick Moore. Professor Mick Moore is a political economist and Professorial Fellow at the Institute of Development St...
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Sri Lanka's mounting interest cost: The largest ex...
In budget 2025, LKR 2,950 billion (8.9% of GDP) has been allocated for interest payments on public debt. Government revenue is estimated at LKR 4,990 billion in 2025, nearly 60% of which will be spent on servicing just the interest payments...
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