This shortfall matters. Sri Lanka needs greater investment in health, education and infrastructure. Countries that devote a larger slice of GDP to such expenditure can do so because they first raise a larger share of their GDP in revenue.
While Sri Lanka has made notable progress in increasing its revenue ratio over the past two years (see Sri Lanka’s Revenue: What Changed Between 2021 and 2024? ), this comparison highlights that there is still a long way to go. IMF projections estimate that government revenue will rise to 15.1 per cent% in 2025 and remain at that level in the future. However, even this figure is still lower than that of regional peers.
This shortfall matters. Sri Lanka needs greater investment in health, education and infrastructure. Countries that devote a larger slice of GDP to such expenditure can do so because they first raise a larger share of their GDP in revenue.
While Sri Lanka has made notable progress in increasing its revenue ratio over the past two years (see Sri Lanka’s Revenue: What Changed Between 2021 and 2024?), this comparison highlights that there is still a long way to go. IMF projections estimate that government revenue will rise to 15.1 per cent% in 2025 and remain at that level in the future. However, even this figure is still lower than that of regional peers.
Sources
IMF World Economic Outlook Database, April 2025 at https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2025/april
World Bank Group, Data at https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD
IMF Working Paper: "Tax Capacity and Growth: Is There a Tipping Point? at https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2016/wp16234.pdf
Besley, T. J., & Persson, T. (2013, January). Taxation and development. https://ssrn.com/
abstract=2210278. (CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9307)
Kleven, H. J., Kreiner, C. T., & Saez, E. (2016). Why can modern governments tax so much? an agency model of firms as fiscal intermediaries. Economica, 83 (330), 219–246. doi: 10.1111/ecca.12182
Revenue to GDP for 2024 for specific countries
Sri Lanka |
Ministry of Finance Annual Report 2024 |
India |
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Maldives |
GDP per capita for 2024
Bangladesh |
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Bhutan |
|
India |
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Sri Lanka |
|
Maldives |
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Nepal |
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Pakistan |
Research by: Hafsa Hanifa and Anushan Kapilan
Visualization by: Muaadh Himaz